OSRS ToA Drop Rate Formula:
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The OSRS ToA (Tombs of Amascut) drop rate formula calculates the cumulative probability of receiving a drop after multiple attempts. It follows the standard probability formula for independent events.
The calculator uses the formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula calculates the probability of getting at least one drop after k attempts, assuming each attempt is independent with a fixed drop rate.
Details: Understanding drop probabilities helps players estimate the number of attempts needed for rare items, plan their in-game activities, and set realistic expectations for reward acquisition.
Tips: Enter the drop probability per attempt (as a decimal between 0 and 1) and the number of attempts. Both values must be valid (p between 0-1, k ≥ 1).
Q1: Does this formula account for bad luck mitigation?
A: No, this formula assumes independent attempts with fixed probability. OSRS generally doesn't have bad luck mitigation systems.
Q2: How accurate is this calculator for rare drops?
A: The formula is mathematically precise for independent events, but actual game mechanics may have slight variations.
Q3: Can I use this for other OSRS content?
A: Yes, this formula works for any content with fixed drop rates and independent attempts.
Q4: What's the probability of getting multiple drops?
A: This calculator shows the probability of getting at least one drop. For multiple drops, you'd need the binomial distribution formula.
Q5: How does team size affect drop rates?
A: In team activities, drop rates are typically divided among participants, which would require adjusting the p value accordingly.